Remember big Al Gore's scary pronouncements that with catastrophic global warming there would come more and more hurricanes/ cyclones and they would devastate higher latitudes than before? At the peak of it all, Australian forecasters were even saying that cyclones could come as far south as Sydney.
Well God didn't get the memo apparently and for the last 10 years, cyclones world wide have decreased in frequency. But of course "this is what you would expect in a warming climate." Yes it is amazing the way that climate science can rewrite its predictions to match what happens after the event.
So now we are told to expect fewer cyclones and less intense cyclones. And wave heights should get smaller also- but didn't we have a report last week that showed that waves were getting bigger over the last 40 years?
I'm confused too.
From The Australian:
Climate change to mean fewer cyclones and smaller waves, says CSIRO research
CSIRO research commissioned by the federal government suggests climate change could dramatically reduce the number of tropical cyclones in the Australian region and decrease wave heights on the nation’s east coast.
The surprise findings, which appear to contradict some common predictions about the impact of climate change, are contained in scientific papers on “Projecting Future Climate and its Extremes”, obtained under Freedom of Information laws by The Australian Online.
One paper, by CSIRO researcher Debbie Abbs, found rising temperatures could halve the frequency of tropical cyclones.
“Climate change projections using this modelling system show a strong tendency for a decrease in TC numbers in the Australian region, especially in the region of current preferred occurrence,” Dr Abbs said.
“On average for the period 2051-2090 relative to 1971-2000, the simulations show an approximately 50 per cent decrease in occurrence for the Australian region, a small decrease (0.3 days) in the duration of a given TC and a southward movement of 100km in the genesis and decay regions.”
So global warming means less snow or more snow, droughts and/or floods, more rain or less rain, more cyclones or fewer cyclones. And the true believers wonder why there are sceptics??